Tuesday, November 10, 2015

Was Downed Russian Airliner a Terrorist Act?

Was Downed Russian Airliner a Terrorist Act?

by Stephen Lendman

It’ll be some time before the cause of the downed Russian Kogalymavia Flight 9268 is known for sure and announced. Mounting evidence suggests terrorism. 

A bomb on board appears most likely, yet to be proved or disproved. Mechanical or structural failure, or a surface-to-air or air-to-air missile are the only other possibilities - unlikely unless determined otherwise.

The ongoing investigation will discover precisely what happened. If terrorism, what then? How will Putin respond? Key is whether it’s possible to assign blame. More on this below.

Tass reported Prime Minister Dmitry Medvedev saying “(t)he probability of a terrorist act…is held as a cause of what happened.” What’s likely doesn’t indicate certainty until the ongoing investigation is complete enough to know one way or the other.

The investigation team includes Russia, Egypt, Germany, France and Ireland. Medvedev stressed “not indulg(ing) in illusions. These issues related to security cannot be resolved very quickly. Therefore, it is likely that (the investigation) will take a rather long time.”

Reports indicate black box analysis discovered an unclear noise before crash occurred. Spectral analysis is needed to determine what it indicated. There are multiple possibilities, a bomb most likely but not certain so far.

Investigations Committee head Ayman Mokadem said scattered debris over a wide area suggests an in-flight breakup, a conclusion yet to be proved definitively.

Both flight data black boxes were recovered, their contents being analyzed. They indicate the incident occurred 23 minutes, 14 seconds after takeoff at an altitude of 30,888 feet - the aircraft still ascending on autopilot at a speed of 281 knots.

Nearly five dozen investigative team members are involved in examining evidence of what happened. No distress call was made prior to crash - indicating something other than mechanical or structural failure.

What’s likely to happen once enough evidence is collected to draw at least preliminary conclusions? If ISIS terrorism appears responsible, expect little or no change in Putin’s war to eliminate it in Syria and beyond.

Russian officials explain their homeland is always threatened by terrorism, a longstanding problem. Arrests are made often, in Moscow and elsewhere. Dagastan terrorists are being fought.

ISIS could have planted a bomb aboard the fated flight because of lax Sharm el-Sheikh international airport security, perhaps with inside help or one of their elements involved in loading or servicing the aircraft.

What if evidence points to state-sponsored terrorism? Egypt not a likely suspect. Moscow and Cairo are forging closer ties. They consummated a $3.5 billion arms deal last year.

Joint energy projects are planned, including Russia building what Putin earlier called “a whole new nuclear power industry” in Egypt. Some agreements were signed.

In late August, Putin said both countries “have common views on the need to intensify the fight against international terrorism.”

During Egyptian leader Abdel Fattah al-Sisi’s Moscow visit, he stressed “cooperation (with) Russia in different fields, including the economy, but also the fight against terror in a region suffering from terrorism.”

Egypt faces an ISIS threat. It’s hard imagining it was involved in downing the Russian airliner. If no ISIS involvement is determined, who then are possible suspects?

Washington and Israel have long odious histories of staged terrorists attacks - 9/11 Exhibit A, state-sponsored. Bin Laden and/or other Arabs had nothing to do with it. Coverup conceals likely CIA/Mossad responsibility.

Did their operatives down Kogalymavia Flight 9268? Expect Putin to respond appropriately if evidence suggests it. Undeclared US proxy war on Russia remains ongoing.

Washington is no stranger to downing commercial airliners. On July 3, 1988, the USS Vincennes guided missile cruiser operating illegally in Iranian waters shot down Iran Air Flight 655, an unprovoked attack killing all 290 passengers and crew.

Claiming a clearly identified ascending Airbus A300 was a threatening, descending Iranian F-14 was a Big Lie, justifying a premeditated war crime.

The cause of Russia’s downed aircraft remains to be determined. From what’s known so far, foul play appears likely. Expect Russia to do whatever it takes to protect its security and interests.

Stephen Lendman lives in Chicago. He can be reached at lendmanstephen@sbcglobal.net. 

His new book as editor and contributor is titled "Flashpoint in Ukraine: US Drive for Hegemony Risks WW III."


Visit his blog site at sjlendman.blogspot.com. 

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